Economic Calendar
The US releases that move mortgage rates.
| Time | Important Event | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, October 26 | ||||
| 8:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceChicago Fed National Activity Index (Sep)A: 0.07F: -0.1P: -0.08 | 0.07 | -0.1 | -0.08 |
| 10:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceDallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Oct)A: 13.4F: 7P: 9.8 | 13.4 | 7 | 9.8 |
| 11:30 AMlow importance | low importance3-Month Bill AuctionA: 4.05%F: 4.009%P: 4.095% | 4.05% | 4.009% | 4.095% |
| 11:30 AMlow importance | low importance6-Month Bill AuctionA: 4.21%F: —P: 4.22% | 4.21% | — | 4.22% |
| 1:00 PMlow importance | low importance2-Year Note AuctionA: 4.708%F: —P: 4.787% | 4.708% | — | 4.787% |
| Tuesday, October 27 | ||||
| 8:00 AMmedium importance | medium importanceBuilding Permits MoM (Sep)A: -0.4%F: -0.2%P: -2.1% | -0.4% | -0.2% | -2.1% |
| 8:00 AMlow importance | low importanceBuilding Permits (Sep)A: 1.398MF: 1.4MP: 1.403M | 1.398M | 1.4M | 1.403M |
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importanceDurable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM (Sep)A: 2.2%F: 2.2%P: 0.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importanceDurable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM (Sep)A: 0.5%F: 0.6%P: 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importanceDurable Goods Orders MoM (Sep)A: 1.8%F: 1.5%P: 0.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| 8:30 AMlow importance | low importanceNon Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (Sep)A: 0.5%F: 0.7%P: 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% |
| 8:55 AMlow importance | low importanceRedbook YoY (Oct/24)A: 9.3%F: —P: 9% | 9.3% | — | 9% |
| 9:00 AMlow importance | low importanceHouse Price Index (Aug)A: 444.6F: 444.4P: 443.2 | 444.6 | 444.4 | 443.2 |
| 9:00 AMlow importance | low importanceHouse Price Index MoM (Aug)A: 0.3%F: 0.2%P: 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 9:00 AMlow importance | low importanceHouse Price Index YoY (Aug)A: 2.4%F: 2.1%P: 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% |
| 9:00 AMlow importance | low importanceS&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM (Aug)A: -0.4%F: -0.1%P: 0% | -0.4% | -0.1% | 0% |
| 9:00 AMmedium importance | medium importanceS&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY (Aug)A: 2.7%F: 2.5%P: 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 10:00 AMmedium importance | medium importanceCB Consumer Confidence (Oct)A: 91.7F: 81P: 84.2 | 91.7 | 81 | 84.2 |
| 10:00 AMhigh importance | high importanceNew Home Sales MoM (Sep)A: -0.6%F: -3.5%P: 5.1% | -0.6% | -3.5% | 5.1% |
| 10:00 AMhigh importance | high importanceNew Home Sales (Sep)A: 0.676MF: 0.65MP: 0.68M | 0.676M | 0.65M | 0.68M |
| 10:00 AMlow importance | low importanceRichmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Oct)A: -2F: 0P: -2 | -2 | 0 | -2 |
| 10:00 AMlow importance | low importanceRichmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index (Oct)A: 0F: -7P: -5 | 0 | -7 | -5 |
| 10:00 AMlow importance | low importanceRichmond Fed Services Index (Oct)A: 2F: -2P: 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceDallas Fed Services Index (Oct)A: 4F: -3P: -1.8 | 4 | -3 | -1.8 |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceDallas Fed Services Revenues Index (Oct)A: 4.4F: -2P: -0.9 | 4.4 | -2 | -0.9 |
| 11:00 AMmedium importance | medium importanceAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)A: 3.4%F: 3.5%P: 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| 11:30 AMlow importance | low importance52-Week Bill AuctionA: 4.29%F: —P: 4.4% | 4.29% | — | 4.4% |
| 11:45 AMmedium importance | medium importanceAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3)A: 3.4%F: 3.5%P: 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| 1:00 PMlow importance | low importance5-Year Note AuctionA: 4.845%F: —P: 5.033% | 4.845% | — | 5.033% |
| 1:00 PMlow importance | low importanceM2 Money Supply MoM (Sep)A: 23.41TF: —P: 23.34T | 23.41T | — | 23.34T |
| 1:00 PMlow importance | low importanceMoney Supply (Sep)A: 23.41TF: 23.4TP: 23.34T | 23.41T | 23.4T | 23.34T |
| 4:30 PMmedium importance | medium importanceAPI Crude Oil Stock Change (Oct/23)A: -2.031MF: 0.8MP: -4.93M | -2.031M | 0.8M | -4.93M |
| 4:50 PMmedium importance | medium importanceAPI Crude Oil Stock Change (Oct/23)A: -2.031MF: 0.8MP: -4.93M | -2.031M | 0.8M | -4.93M |
| Wednesday, October 28 | ||||
| 7:00 AMmedium importance | medium importanceMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Oct/23)A: 7.37%F: —P: 7.41% | 7.37% | — | 7.41% |
| 7:00 AMlow importance | low importanceMBA Mortgage Applications (Oct/23)A: 3.4%F: —P: -5.3% | 3.4% | — | -5.3% |
| 7:00 AMlow importance | low importanceMBA Mortgage Market Index (Oct/23)A: 195PointsF: —P: 188.6Points | 195Points | — | 188.6Points |
| 7:00 AMlow importance | low importanceMBA Mortgage Refinance Index (Oct/23)A: 516.8PointsF: —P: 503.1Points | 516.8Points | — | 503.1Points |
| 7:00 AMlow importance | low importanceMBA Purchase Index (Oct/23)A: 134.1PointsF: —P: 129.2Points | 134.1Points | — | 129.2Points |
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importanceGoods Trade Balance (Sep)A: -134.9BF: -130BP: -132.07B | -134.9B | -130B | -132.07B |
| 8:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceRetail Inventories Ex Autos MoM (Sep)A: 0.4%F: -0.1%P: 0.1% | 0.4% | -0.1% | 0.1% |
| 8:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceWholesale Inventories MoM (Sep)A: 0.6%F: 0.5%P: 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceCrude Oil ImportsA: -0.796MF: —P: 0.837M | -0.796M | — | 0.837M |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceEIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Oct/23)A: -0.796MF: —P: 0.837M | -0.796M | — | 0.837M |
| 10:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/23)A: -1.892MF: 0MP: -3.061M | -1.892M | 0M | -3.061M |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceEIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/23)A: -0.624MF: —P: 0.987M | -0.624M | — | 0.987M |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceEIA Distillate Fuel Production Change (Oct/23)A: -0.071MF: —P: 0.043M | -0.071M | — | 0.043M |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceEIA Distillate Stocks Change (Oct/23)A: -1.462MF: -0.9MP: 1.675M | -1.462M | -0.9M | 1.675M |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceEIA Gasoline Production Change (Oct/23)A: -0.509MF: —P: 0.518M | -0.509M | — | 0.518M |
| 10:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceEIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Oct/23)A: 3.87MF: -0.9MP: -2.952M | 3.87M | -0.9M | -2.952M |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceEIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Oct/23)A: 0.164MF: —P: 0.652M | 0.164M | — | 0.652M |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceEIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Oct/23)A: -0.123MF: —P: 0.034M | -0.123M | — | 0.034M |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceEIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoWA: -0.6%F: —P: -0.1% | -0.6% | — | -0.1% |
| 11:00 AMmedium importance | medium importanceAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)A: 3.3%F: —P: 3.4% | 3.3% | — | 3.4% |
| 11:30 AMlow importance | low importance17-Week Bill AuctionA: 4.14%F: —P: 4.155% | 4.14% | — | 4.155% |
| 11:30 AMlow importance | low importance2-Year FRN AuctionA: 0.038%F: —P: 0.04% | 0.038% | — | 0.04% |
| 1:00 PMlow importance | low importance2-Year FRN AuctionA: —F: —P: 0.04% | — | — | 0.04% |
| 2:00 PMhigh importance | high importanceFed Interest Rate DecisionA: 4%F: 4%P: 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 2:00 PMhigh importance | high importanceFOMC Economic ProjectionsA: —F: —P: — | — | — | — |
| 2:00 PMhigh importance | high importanceFOMC StatementA: —F: —P: — | — | — | — |
| 2:30 PMhigh importance | high importancePress ConferenceA: —F: —P: — | — | — | — |
| Thursday, October 29 | ||||
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importanceContinuing Jobless Claims (Oct/17)A: 1,701KF: 1,720KP: 1,722K | 1,701K | 1,720K | 1,722K |
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importanceCore PCE Price Index MoM (Sep)A: 0.3%F: 0.3%P: 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importanceCore PCE Price Index YoY (Sep)A: 3.1%F: 3.1%P: 3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3% |
| 8:30 AMlow importance | low importanceCore PCE Prices QoQ (Q3)A: 2.5%F: 2.4%P: 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% |
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importanceGDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q3)A: 3.4%F: 3.2%P: 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| 8:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceGDP Price Index QoQ (Q3)A: 2.2%F: 3.2%P: 6.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.1% |
| 8:30 AMlow importance | low importanceGDP Sales QoQ (Q3)A: 1.7%F: 3.5%P: 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importanceInitial Jobless Claims (Oct/24)A: 194KF: 199KP: 195K | 194K | 199K | 195K |
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importanceJobless Claims 4-Week Average (Oct/24)A: 196.75KF: 197KP: 198K | 196.75K | 197K | 198K |
| 8:30 AMmedium importance | medium importancePCE Price Index MoM (Sep)A: 0.5%F: 0.5%P: 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| 8:30 AMmedium importance | medium importancePCE Price Index YoY (Sep)A: 3.6%F: 3.6%P: 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| 8:30 AMlow importance | low importancePCE Prices QoQ (Q3)A: 2.1%F: 3.4%P: 5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5% |
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importancePersonal Income MoM (Sep)A: 0.2%F: 0.3%P: 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 8:30 AMhigh importance | high importancePersonal Spending MoM (Sep)A: 0.5%F: 0.6%P: 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| 8:30 AMlow importance | low importanceReal Consumer Spending QoQ (Q3)A: 3.8%F: 3.9%P: 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| 10:00 AMmedium importance | medium importanceAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)A: —F: —P: — | — | — | — |
| 10:30 AMlow importance | low importanceEIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (Oct/23)A: 80BF: 75BP: 77B | 80B | 75B | 77B |
| 11:00 AMmedium importance | medium importanceAtlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4)A: 3.2%F: —P: 3.3% | 3.2% | — | 3.3% |
| 11:30 AMlow importance | low importance4-Week Bill AuctionA: 3.91%F: —P: 3.945% | 3.91% | — | 3.945% |
| 11:30 AMlow importance | low importance8-Week Bill AuctionA: 4.02%F: —P: 4.015% | 4.02% | — | 4.015% |
| 12:00 PMlow importance | low importance15-Year Mortgage Rate (Oct/29)A: 6.6%F: —P: 6.68% | 6.6% | — | 6.68% |
| 12:00 PMlow importance | low importance30-Year Mortgage Rate (Oct/29)A: 7.24%F: —P: 7.32% | 7.24% | — | 7.32% |
| 1:00 PMlow importance | low importance7-Year Note AuctionA: 4.894%F: —P: 5.085% | 4.894% | — | 5.085% |
| 4:30 PMlow importance | low importanceCentral Bank Balance Sheet (Oct/28)A: 6.746TF: —P: 6.754T | 6.746T | — | 6.754T |
| Friday, October 30 | ||||
| 8:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceEmployment Cost - Benefits QoQ (Q3)A: —F: 0.7%P: 1% | — | 0.7% | 1% |
| 8:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceEmployment Cost Index QoQ (Q3)A: —F: 0.8%P: 0.9% | — | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| 8:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceEmployment Cost - Wages QoQ (Q3)A: —F: 0.8%P: 0.9% | — | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| 9:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceEmployment Cost - Benefits QoQ (Q3)A: —F: —P: 1% | — | — | 1% |
| 9:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceEmployment Cost Index QoQ (Q3)A: —F: 0.6%P: 0.9% | — | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| 9:30 AMmedium importance | medium importanceEmployment Cost - Wages QoQ (Q3)A: —F: —P: 0.9% | — | — | 0.9% |
| 9:45 AMmedium importance | medium importanceChicago PMI (Oct)A: —F: 56.1P: 58.8 | — | 56.1 | 58.8 |
| 12:30 PMmedium importance | medium importanceFed Musalem SpeechA: —F: —P: — | — | — | — |
| 1:00 PMlow importance | low importanceBaker Hughes Oil Rig Count (Oct/30)A: —F: —P: 460 | — | — | 460 |
| 3:30 PMlow importance | low importanceCFTC Aluminium Speculative net positionsA: —F: —P: -1K | — | — | -1K |
| 3:30 PMlow importance | low importanceCFTC Copper Speculative net positionsA: —F: —P: 57.4K | — | — | 57.4K |
| 3:30 PMlow importance | low importanceCFTC Corn speculative net positionsA: —F: —P: 286.7K | — | — | 286.7K |
| 3:30 PMmedium importance | medium importanceCFTC Crude Oil speculative net positionsA: —F: —P: 89.3K | — | — | 89.3K |
| 3:30 PMmedium importance | medium importanceCFTC Gold Speculative net positionsA: —F: —P: 199.9K | — | — | 199.9K |
| 3:30 PMmedium importance | medium importanceCFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positionsA: —F: —P: 50.7K | — | — | 50.7K |
| 3:30 PMlow importance | low importanceCFTC Natural Gas speculative net positionsA: —F: —P: -241.3K | — | — | -241.3K |
| 3:30 PMlow importance | low importanceCFTC Silver Speculative net positionsA: —F: —P: 19.8K | — | — | 19.8K |
| 3:30 PMlow importance | low importanceCFTC Soybeans speculative net positionsA: —F: —P: 246.6K | — | — | 246.6K |
| 3:30 PMmedium importance | medium importanceCFTC S&P 500 speculative net positionsA: —F: —P: -142.7K | — | — | -142.7K |
| 3:30 PMlow importance | low importanceCFTC Wheat speculative net positionsA: —F: —P: -29.3K | — | — | -29.3K |